Saturday, 3 October 2026

T212 Portfolio update £202k 2026-10-02 + whole T212 Portfolio Analysis



Prices went down during the week but recovered towards the end of the week. My Invest account thus stayed level but the ISA had lost over £1k this week.

Topped up on GE Vernova GEV, Rosebank ROSE and Solaris Energy Infrastructure SEI in my Invest account and topped up on Corning GLW in my ISA. I also bought a small amount of new shares of Qualcom QCOM (£250) and Kioxia KI5 (£300).


Bad week for miners. Corning seems to be recovering from the big drop just after I bought it (lol) but is not yet in profit.

Portfolio performance over last 12 months comparison

It seems I have still beaten the market though if you believe Snowball Analytics.


My plan

My plan is to basically hold and wait. I am waiting for gold and silver to start climbing and also rare earths and copper.  Korea and Samsung/Hynix has almost recovered from the July dip and I have also dipped my toe into Kioxia KI5 (Chinese memory maker) too.

On September 29, 2026, Applied Materials Inc (NASDAQ: AMAT) announced a strategic collaboration with KIOXIA Corporation at its EPIC Center in Silicon Valley to accelerate innovation in next-generation memory technologies. This partnership focuses on pioneering advanced memory cell structures, multi-chip stacking, and novel engineering materials designed to enhance memory density and performance, particularly for artificial intelligence applications.

The performance of both my ISA and Invest account has been disappointing over the last 6 months (12%) compared to the S&P 500 and even SWDA MSCI Core World. This is mainly due to my miner holdings which are acting as a hedge and are going in the wrong direction.

Snowball Analytics - 6 months growth report

The 6 month performance chart shows approx. similar performance to the S&P.

Year-to-date growth has beaten both the S&P and SWDA however (so far)...

Snowball Analytics - YTD Growth report

Snowball Analytics - YTD Performance report

Here is a map of %age profit of my holdings over the last 6 months


The world ETFs have shown the most profit but they also had the highest deposits.

I hope to sell my smaller holdings within my Invest account at appropriate times and simplify the portfolio over the next 6 months.

This shows my top profitable holdings (inc. sold holdings) over the last 6 months...

Here is the ranked performance of my current holdings...

This has shown that my Tech 'picks-and-shovels' play seems to be working (I include HP and Lenovo in this class as they are components/tools required for server centers).

On a cost basis, this heat map shows my actual holdings performance ..

6 month holdings performance

Most of the red losers are miners. Bond interest rates are very high at the moment and so should gold be too (but it is not). Rare Earths are in short supply as well as copper and other mineral commodities. Defence stocks should also pick up soon too.

My simple take for copper:

  • Best single name: FCX
  • Best diversified holding: COPX

My rationale has been to buy index ETFs (world, value, etc.), picks and shovels IT stocks (memory, chips, infrastructure, copper) and hedge with gold, miners and defence stocks.

Rates are very high at the moment and so should come down from now on and thus help gold and miners.

Simple rule of thumb:

  • Rates down + yields down + war/risk up = bullish gold and especially bullish miners
  • Rates up + yields up + strong growth/risk-on = bearish to neutral gold, miners hit harder
Logically, this should make gold cheap just now and a good time to buy it as a long term hedge, but I already have enough. I will buy more copper COPX if it gets cheaper.

Cyclical copper - if it gets cheaper I may buy more!



Finviz 6-month ETF performance heat map

Finviz will give us a generic heat map for the last 6 months




Tech, Semiconductors and BioTech (BBH) or just ACWI are best performers



P.S. If you haven't seen stockanalysis.com, it's quick and free and very good for finding stock winners inc. ETFs!



T212 ISA+GIA gains over 12 months by sector...

Snowball Analytics report
 

Most gains in IT and Funds. Healthcare and Comms were also strong. Energy and Materials still need time to improve!


No comments:

Post a Comment