Saturday, 2 May 2026

Trading 212 Portfolio progress update 1/05/2026 + tips

Net deposits on Trading 212 are currently: Invest £100k and ISA 40k (only recently added 20k) so I am £34k up at the moment. Here is the result on this morning of Saturday 2 May 2026:

Invest IRR 72%    -          ISA IRR 31%

I still have £4k as cash in the ISA and £10k as cash in the Invest GIA.

I took some profits on some holdings (AMD, ARM) in the last 2 weeks.

Current Holdings

I have deliberately diversified my portfolios on T212. I have other portfolios with other brokers, inc. other ISAs, a GIA and a SIPP, which are heavily invested in World ETFs for stability.

ISA Holdings (IRR 25% over last 12 months)

Invest Holdings (IRR 43% over last 12 months)

The stock market seems to be ignoring the Iran problem at the moment and despite oil reaching a high on Friday, most S&P companies did very well.

Many companies announced very good results this week esp. the USA Tech companies.






























Picks and Shovels!


Western Digital, Seagate, Samsung, Micron, Hynix all did very well. I also hold Intel, ARM, Broadcom and AMD which seems to have paid off.

I feel that gold and silver is a good price at the moment. There should be inflation but Fed interest rates are being deliberately kept down so I have spent a few more £k to buy more junior gold miners.

I still have £14k in cash as I expect people to take profits next week. Trump impeachment (or curtailment of his powers) is looking more and more likely. I am ready to take more profits but also I am ready to buy more of the right stocks at the right price.

I see continued demand for chips...


AMD seems to have a very high price at the moment (P/E 135%) and I am thinking of reducing my holding or selling all (I am only holding £1120 in my ISA of which £407 is profit). I am also already holding most of the others.

Hormuz

The Hormuz blockade is going to affect oil and gas supplies for the rest of the year, even if free movement is allowed tomorrow. Fertilizer and Helium supply is also affected. 

Company SectorStrategic Advantage in 2026
Cheniere EnergyLNGLargest US exporter filling Qatar's 20% supply gap.
CF IndustriesFertilizerNorth American nitrogen production capturing 60% urea price spike.
Air ProductsHeliumLeverages US storage to supply chipmakers during Qatar shortage.
Kinder MorganMidstreamEssential infrastructure for record-breaking US gas exports.
ExxonMobilEnergy/HeHigh oil prices + critical US-based helium production.



The top-end target prices assume that the blockade continues, so buying any of these now will mean that I am betting rather than investing. If the blockade stops, these prices could drop even more than their previous fair-value prices. The gains do not seem worth the risk at these prices.

The winners seem to be US-based companies (not dependent on Hormuz and no import tariffs). and possibly chip manufacturers (esp. Micron which opens a new fab this year), Texas Instruments has experienced a large boost from AI and has a new fab planned to run around 2030. Intel also has USA fabs. US companies will also benefit from Trump's Chips Act.



I am up 120% and 160% on Intel and Micron to date. Sadly, I only bought approx. £500 of each.

Chip packaging of the silicon however, is still mainly done overseas and these subsidies are mostly paid only after certain benchmarks have been met by these companies. I already hold most of these and many are currently showing 70%-120% gains!

Banks and Finance




The performance of the EU STOXX banks ETF  BNKE was amazing last year, but this year it has mostly stagnated. Currently, I think BNKE is underrated, whereas USA banks are priced near fair value.




Summer is just around the corner. Will people by jetting to Crete or will they 'staycation' on their back lawns to save money on hotels and petrol and save up to buy a new eco-tumble dryer for the Winter? How soon will it be before electric kettles are only allowed to heat water up to 80 deg C?




No comments:

Post a Comment