Tuesday, 28 January 2025

Raindrops on roses... (a few of my favourite ETFs)

Raindrops on roses and whiskers on kittens 

Bright copper kettles and warm woolen mittens

Brown paper packages tied up with strings

These are a few of my favorite things [ETFs]

I do use a small part of my investment portfolio to buy individual company stocks like NVidia or Amazon or Tower Resources (big fail!), but as I am no expert in company analysis, I tend to only break even with these at the best of times! The problem is always when one stock dives significantly - I have learnt that slow and steady is better than risking any significant loss in just one stock as it takes ages to recover from that loss.

Index ETFs on the other hand will never go down to zero and usually tend to go up or at least keep pace with inflation.

The only exception is if I (stupidly) buy a very risky stock. In this case, I will buy it inside my GIA account so that if I make a loss, I can deduct that loss from my total gains and thus pay less CGT. If it makes a large gain, then I don't mind paying the CGT! On the other hand, if I held it inside my ISA and I lost 90% of it, I cannot even make use of that loss and it will take months to get that money back from my other investments. Trading outside of an ISA does sometimes have an advantage in that you can deduct that loss from your gains.

The ETFs I have listed below are my current favourites.

My ratio of holdings in these however will vary depending on the current stock market climate.

My favourite ETFs, ordered by fund size.

I tend to not sell ETFs such as SWDA, XDEQ, XLKQ, HMWS, CSP1 and EQQQ, and so I hold these in my SIPP and GIA accounts and don't sell them so as not to incur capital gains tax.

The other ETFs in the list are factor ETFs which I may sell or buy according to the current market conditions and I try to hold these inside my ISA so that I do not incur Capital Gains tax if and when I sell them in order to buy something else.

You will see that over the last year, surprisingly, IUCD\ICDU (Consumer Discretionary - Amazon, Tesla, etc.) tops the list at 40% (above Tech, S&P 500, the NASDAQ and Gold). IUCD currently has a large holding in Amazon (31%) and Tesla(18%).

IUCD (aka ICDU for GBP version)

Due to this ETF having a 18.5% holding in Tesla, I am now (2025) very cautious of this ETF as Tesla is heavily reliant on US government subsidies (which Trump may rug-pull) and the selling of it's carbon credits to ICE car companies. I still like Amazon however.

Consumer S&P 500 top holdings (Amazon and Tesla, etc.)...

IUCD - Consumer Discretionary top holdings
IITU Tech S&P 500

Mainly Apple, NVidia and Microsoft...

I would prefer this to be not quite so heavily weighted in Apple at the moment.

Note: XLKQ is an equivalent synthetic fund with about 20% in each of Apple, Nvidia and Microsoft and so is slightly less top heavy into Apple than IITU but has shown slightly better historical returns that IITU.

IITU Top ten holdings

I prefer XLKQ despite the higher TER charge.

IUCM

Then we have IUCM (Google 31%, Meta 17%, Netflix 14%)...

IUCM - Communications top holdings


IUFS (USD)/UIFS (GBP) Financials is always a steady ETF too..
IUFS top holdings

S&P 500 and the Magnificent 7

We can see how much of the S&P 500 is now taken up by just the 7 top companies:


Because they are such large companies, they also top the SWDA global index tracker ETF too (approx 25%).

My favourite ETFs for today

Let's order them for gains in the last 3 months...


I tend to vary my ratio of satellite holdings of IITU/XLKQ, IUCM, IUFS and less of IUSU and IUCD...
  • $IUCM mainly Google, Meta and Netflix
  • £IITU mainly Apple, NVidia and Microsoft
  • £UIFS/$IUFS Finance (top holding Berkshire Hathaway which I think is great for 2025)

                    and perhaps these if good value (buy on dip)...

  • £ICDU/$IUCD mainly Amazon (OK) and Tesla (overvalued?)
  • £IUSU Utilities Energy, etc. (buy on dip)

If I think the UK Pound will keep falling, then I buy the $ version of the ETF. Currently, I am buying the $ version!

These are satellite positions for me. Rather than buy Amazon and Tesla, I buy IUCD. Rather than buy Meta, I buy IUCM, etc. etc. These ETFs provide a less thrilling ride but I should still come out on top.

I fully realise that I also hold these companies in my global and USA ETFs and so I am increasing my USA weighting even more.

The recent DeepSeek panic has affected NVidia and so IITU suffered yesterday, so I bought some more while it was nice and low.

Long Term 2-ETF Portfolio

If you just want to Dollar Cost Average into your investment portfolio every month (set and forget), then I suggest a simple 2 ETF 70/30 accumulation portfolio:
  • SWDA or HMWS (slightly cheaper TER) - World Index tracker  (suggest 70%)
  • XLKQ - S&P 500 Tech stocks capped @20% selected (suggest 30%)

XLKQ has shown 200% growth in 5 years while SWDA Global has shown 90% growth and that includes Covid in 2020 and the correction in 2022. XXTW would be a more diverse, global world alternative (less reliant on USA).

SWDA\HMWS includes S&P 500 companies anyway, so we just add an extra topping of XLKQ Tech stocks. A 70/30 mix would have given an average annual gain of 24%/yr across 5 years whereas the S&P 500 (CSP1) alone would have given us 21%/yr. So with this simple portfolio we have wider global diversity but with a sprinkling of high gain Tech thrown in - less risk, more diversity and it has beaten the S&P 500!

A 60/40 ratio of SWDA/XLKQ would have given us 27%/yr or 134% over 5 years, but would be more risky/volatile.

The tables below include Jan 2025 and so they have slightly different figures (10K start - no DCA)...

If we DCA'd into this £500 a month (starting with £10k) we would get the following:
 Even a 70/30 portfolio gives us 28%/yr and beats the S&P 500 over the last 5 years.

Tax matters!

I try to take full advantages of UK tax allowances. This year (2024/25) we have allowances of:
  • Personal Savings allowance £1000 (= £20k at 5%)
  • Dividend allowance £500 (= £20k at 5% or 40k at 2.5%)
  • Capital Gains allowance £3000 (= £15k at 20%)
So I keep an eye on my savings interest, paid dividends and capital gains for the current tax year in an attempt to maximise these quotas (after all, its free money!). Since we have a generous (not!) £500 dividend allowance, I use EQQQ to give me some dividends but all the rest of my ETFs are accumulating versions which don't pay out a dividend.

The above is not financial advice and you must please do your own research!

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